Who or what is going to “fix” the mortgage market? – The Crosby Report
August 12th, 2008Is there an end in sight to the current collapse of the housing market? “Not in the near future” seems to be the verdict.
Rising costs such as fuel and food are hitting homeowners hard and repossessions have increased dramatically as households struggle to manage monthly costs. However, many commentators argue that it is the impact of banks and building societies restricting and withdrawing mortgage products that has been the key factor in the current housing crisis.
The report does not make pretty reading for many home owners or lenders.
Banks and building societies are currently not able to secure cost effective funding themselves. Previously they were able to get this through the residentia l mortgage backed securitisation products. The market for these products has all but dried up. Alternatives are therefore required and fast. Higher funding costs for mortgage lenders mean higher prices or lower availability for borrowers. This is a disaster for mortgage borrowers and the wider property market - Big leaps in mortgage rates are unlikely to happen without a further serious property slump. There are no quick fixes to be found, and the situation is unlikely to improve in the immediate future
- It seems unlikely that the government will be stepping in to bail out the mortage market
- It will take years for banks to adjust to this new era of lower leverage, and levels of new lending will remain low well into 2010.
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